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How Trump’s 2024 Victory Impacts the U.S. Trucking Industry

In a historic turn of events, Donald Trump has clinched the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The trucking industry, a key pillar of the American economy, is positioned to experience considerable impacts from Trump’s regulatory philosophy, infrastructure promises, and economic policies. As America’s supply chain backbone, trucking—responsible for hauling 73% of all U.S. freight—is on the brink of major changes. This article examines the potential transformations in store for trucking businesses and professionals under the new administration.

Key Industry Insights
  • Trucking Hauls 73% of U.S. Freight: According to the American Trucking Associations (ATA), trucks moved approximately 10.23 billion tons of freight in 2023, a figure that underscores the essential nature of the industry.
  • Driver Shortage Crisis: The ATA predicts a shortage of 160,000 drivers by 2030, signaling an urgent need for policies that attract and retain talent.
  • Infrastructure Needs: The American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) estimates that $1.2 trillion is needed to repair and update U.S. infrastructure, much of it affecting trucking routes.
With these insights in mind, let’s explore the potential impacts of Trump’s policies on the trucking industry.

1. Deregulation and Compliance Shifts
Trump’s return to office suggests a push for deregulation. For trucking, this could mean revisiting certain policies like Hours of Service (HOS) regulations and Electronic Logging Device (ELD) mandates. Currently, compliance with HOS rules and ELDs costs the industry billions in administrative expenses and fines, while also impacting operational efficiency.

Possible Outcomes of Deregulation:
  • Increased Flexibility for Drivers: Loosening HOS restrictions could allow drivers to complete longer hauls with less waiting, maximizing efficiency.
  • Cost Savings for Operators: Fewer compliance burdens mean reduced operating costs, which can free up funds for equipment upgrades, salaries, and more.
  • Enhanced Driver Morale: More flexible work hours could attract new drivers, helping address the critical shortage and reducing turnover.
While deregulation may be beneficial in reducing costs and streamlining operations, it’s crucial for trucking companies to ensure safety remains a priority.

2. Infrastructure Improvements: Reducing Delays and Costs
Trump has long advocated for infrastructure investment, and his administration is expected to prioritize repairing roads, bridges, and other critical transport assets. This focus on infrastructure could be a major win for the trucking industry, as congestion and poor road conditions lead to substantial inefficiencies and wear on vehicles.

Impact of Infrastructure Spending:
  • Faster, More Reliable Routes: With fewer roadblocks and smoother surfaces, trucks can complete deliveries more quickly, enhancing productivity across the board.
  • Lower Maintenance Costs: Improved roads mean less wear and tear on trucks, which can reduce vehicle maintenance costs by thousands per truck annually.
  • Improved Safety for Drivers and Other Motorists: Fewer potholes, cracks, and structurally compromised bridges lead to safer travel, benefitting both drivers and the public.
According to the U.S. Department of Transportation, poor road conditions and congestion cost the trucking industry over $74 billion annually in fuel and lost productivity. A serious infrastructure initiative could dramatically improve these figures.

3. Domestic Energy Production and Fuel Costs
Trump has been a staunch supporter of increasing domestic energy production, including oil and natural gas. For the trucking industry, which spends nearly 20% of its operating costs on fuel, this policy direction could be highly beneficial. Increases in domestic energy production are likely to keep fuel prices stable, helping companies better manage expenses.

Potential Benefits of Lower Fuel Prices:
  • Budget Stability: Predictable fuel costs allow trucking companies to forecast expenses more accurately and price services competitively.
  • Expanded Profit Margins: Even minor decreases in diesel prices can lead to significant savings, especially for larger fleets.
  • Increased Investment Potential: Savings on fuel costs can be reallocated to other business areas, such as technology upgrades or driver incentives.
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that increased energy production could lead to more stable diesel prices over the next four years, offering truckers a more predictable expense environment.

4. Workforce Development Initiatives and the Driver Shortage
One of Trump’s stated goals is to bolster workforce development in America, with a focus on vocational training. Given that the trucking industry has one of the oldest workforces in the U.S., workforce development policies could significantly impact recruitment and retention.

Impact of Workforce Development on Trucking:
  • Encouraging Younger Drivers: Training programs and financial incentives may help attract a younger generation of drivers, helping to close the driver shortage gap.
  • Enhanced Driver Preparedness: Investing in specialized training ensures that new drivers enter the workforce with better skills and a stronger safety background.
  • Lower Recruitment Costs: A more robust pipeline of trained drivers can reduce recruitment expenses and boost retention rates across the industry.
The trucking industry has often struggled to appeal to younger demographics, and workforce development policies that emphasize the benefits of a trucking career could help turn the tide.

5. “America First” Trade Policies: Boosting Domestic Freight Demand
Trump’s focus on prioritizing American manufacturing could have far-reaching effects on freight demand. By promoting the production and consumption of American-made goods, domestic trucking demand is likely to increase, as more goods will need transportation within U.S. borders.

Key Benefits of Increased Domestic Freight Demand:
  • Higher Load Volumes: With a stronger domestic production market, truckers may see a higher volume of shipments to transport within the U.S.
  • Stable Revenue Streams: More consistent domestic demand allows for more predictable revenue, reducing the risks associated with international trade fluctuations.
  • Expansion Opportunities: Increased demand for domestic freight opens new doors for companies to expand routes, hire more drivers, and increase profit margins.
The current global economic climate, with its disruptions and supply chain bottlenecks, has underscored the importance of domestic self-sufficiency. For truckers, this shift could mean sustained demand and fewer risks associated with global market instability.

About Fortress Fleet Solutions
Fortress Fleet Solutions is your trusted partner in CDL driver recruitment and DOT compliance services. As industry leaders with years of experience, we understand the unique challenges facing the trucking industry in this rapidly evolving regulatory landscape. Our team is committed to providing solutions that help you navigate the complexities of compliance, safety, and staffing with ease.

At Fortress Fleet Solutions, we specialize in keeping your fleet compliant and your trucks filled with qualified drivers. Our services include:
  • CDL Driver Recruitment: We help you find the right drivers for your specific needs, ensuring you can keep up with demand without sacrificing safety.
  • DOT Compliance: Stay ahead of regulations with our comprehensive compliance support, from safety audits to HOS rule guidance.
  • Safety Consulting: We offer strategic safety consulting services to help you stay compliant, lower costs, and reduce risks.
Ready to take your recruitment and compliance efforts to the next level? Book a free strategy session with us today to explore how Fortress Fleet Solutions can support your growth and keep your operations smooth in the face of regulatory changes.

With Trump’s presidency likely to usher in a new era for the U.S. trucking industry, companies will need to stay informed and adaptable. Fortress Fleet Solutions is here to provide the expert support, resources, and insights you need to thrive. Connect with us today to get started and see how we can help you navigate this transformative time in the industry.

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